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Map by Conal Kelly
See also results of all North Antrim elections 1993-2010 and full counts from 2003 and 2007. Spreadsheet for 1998 here.
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Stage 1 | Surplus Paisley Sr | Surplus Paisley Jr | Exclude McCaughan, Wright, Palmer | ||||
Ian Paisley Sr. | DUP | 10590 | -3490 | 7100 | |
7100 | |
7100 |
Ian Paisley Jr. | DUP | 4459 | 3092.10 | 7551.10 | -451.10 | 7100 | |
7100 |
Sean Farren | SDLP | 6433 | 0.99 | 6433.99 | 0.24 | 6434.23 | 45.00 | 6479.23 |
Robert Coulter | UUP | 5407 | 33.99 | 5440.99 | 10.28 | 5451.27 | 50.55 | 5501.82 |
James Leslie | UUP | 3458 | 22.11 | 3480.11 | 6.84 | 3486.95 | 22.60 | 3509.55 |
Gardiner Kane | DUP | 3638 | 138.93 | 3776.93 | 276.80 | 4053.73 | 53.50 | 4107.23 |
James McCarry | SF | 2024 | |
2024.00 | 0.24 | 2024.24 | 20.04 | 2044.28 |
William Wright | Ind U | 3297 | 118.80 | 3415.80 | 45.20 | 3461.00 | 54.22 | 3515.22 |
Jayne Dunlop | APNI | 2282 | 3.63 | 2285.63 | 1.56 | 2287.19 | 44.73 | 2331.92 |
Joe Cahill | SF | 2021 | |
2021.00 | 0.04 | 2021.04 | 4.00 | 2025.04 |
Patricia Campbell | UUP | 2199 | 8.58 | 2207.58 | 3.20 | 2210.78 | 15.78 | 2226.56 |
Malachy McCamphill | SDLP | 1982 | 0.99 | 1982.99 | 0.28 | 1983.27 | 19.04 | 2002.31 |
Richard Rodgers | PUP | 641 | 7.59 | 648.59 | 4.56 | 653.15 | 13.34 | 666.49 |
Oliver McMullan | Ind N | 478 | 0.33 | 478.33 | 0.16 | 478.49 | 24.00 | 502.49 |
Maurice McAllister | UDP | 400 | 14.85 | 414.85 | 5.00 | 419.85 | 2.23 | 422.08 |
Chris McCaughan | Ind | 194 | 1.32 | 195.32 | 0.52 | 195.84 | -195.84 | |
John Wright | NLP | 156 | 15.51 | 171.51 | 7.52 | 179.03 | -179.03 | |
Thomas Palmer | Ind | 38 | 1.98 | 39.98 | 4.08 | 44.06 | -44.06 | |
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non-transferable | |
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28.30 | 28.30 | 84.58 | 112.88 | 49.90 | 162.78 |
Stage 2: 10490 of Paisley Sr's 10590 votes transferred, at a value of 0.33: 9370 to Paisley Jr (enough to elect him) and 421 to Kane, thus 9791 (92.46%) to the other DUP candidates; 360 (3.40%) to Wright (Ind U); 103 to Coulter, 67 to Leslie and 26 to Campbell, thus 196 (1.85% to the UUP candidates); 47 (0.44%) to Wright (NLP); 45 (0.42%) to McAllister (UDP); 23 (0.22%) to Rodgers (PUP); 11 (0.10%) to Dunlop (Alliance); 6 (0.06%) to Palmer (Ind); 3 to each of McCamphill and Farren, thus 6 (0.06%) to the SDLP candidates; 4 (0.04%) to McCaughan (Ind); 1 (0.01%) to McMullan (Ind); and none to either SF candidate; with 100 (0.94%) non-transferable.
Stage 3: Of the 9370 votes transferred to Paisley Jr from his father, 9163 had further preferences and were transferred at a value of 0.04: 6920 (73.85%) to Kane (DUP); 1130 (12.06%) to Wright (Ind U); 257 to Coulter, 171 to Leslie and 80 to Campbell (5.42% to the UUP); 188 (2.01%) to Wright (NLP); 125 (1.33%) to McAllister (UDP); 114 (1.22%) to Rodgers (PUP); 102 (1.09%) to Palmer (Ind); 39 (0.42%) to Dunlop (Alliance); 13 (0.14%) to McCaughan (Ind); 7 to McCamphill and 6 to Farren (0.14% to the SDLP candidates); 6 to McCarry and 1 to Cahill (0.07% to the SF candidates); and 4 (0.04%) to McMullan (Ind); with 207 (2.21%) non-transferable.
Stage 4: Of the 418.93 votes in total transferred from McCaughan, Wright and Palmer, 21.23% went to the UUP candidates, 15.29% to the SDLP candidates, 12.94% to Wright (Ind U), 12.77% to Kane (DUP), 10.68% to Dunlop (Alliance), 5.74% to the SF candidates, 5.73% to McMullan, 3.18% to Rodgers (PUP) and 0.53% to McAllister (UDP); with 11.91% non-transferable.
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Stage 4 | Exclude Rodgers, McMullan, McAllister | Exclude McCamphill | Surplus Farren | ||||
Ian Paisley Sr. | DUP | 7100 | |
7100 | |
7100 | |
7100 |
Ian Paisley Jr. | DUP | 7100 | |
7100 | |
7100 | |
7100 |
Sean Farren | SDLP | 6479.23 | 183.04 | 6662.27 | 1638.00 | 8300.27 | -1200.27 | 7100 |
Robert Coulter | UUP | 5501.82 | 134.42 | 5636.24 | 8.00 | 5644.24 | 16.15 | 5660.39 |
James Leslie | UUP | 3509.55 | 192.62 | 3702.17 | 11.33 | 3713.50 | 19.55 | 3733.05 |
Gardiner Kane | DUP | 4107.23 | 135.05 | 4242.28 | 5.41 | 4247.69 | 1.70 | 4249.39 |
James McCarry | SF | 2044.28 | 156.00 | 2200.28 | 179.00 | 2379.28 | 436.05 | 2815.33 |
William Wright | Ind U | 3515.22 | 215.02 | 3730.24 | 1.04 | 3731.28 | 2.55 | 3733.83 |
Jayne Dunlop | APNI | 2331.92 | 124.11 | 2456.03 | 67.00 | 2523.03 | 347.65 | 2870.68 |
Joe Cahill | SF | 2025.04 | 54.00 | 2079.04 | 78.00 | 2157.04 | 331.50 | 2488.54 |
Patricia Campbell | UUP | 2226.56 | 124.39 | 2350.95 | 11.00 | 2361.95 | 39.95 | 2401.9 |
Malachy McCamphill | SDLP | 2002.31 | 73.00 | 2075.31 | -2075.31 | |
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Richard Rodgers | PUP | 666.49 | -666.49 | |
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Oliver McMullan | Ind N | 502.49 | -502.49 | |
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Maurice McAllister | UDP | 422.08 | -422.08 | |
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non-transferable | |
162.78 | 199.41 | 362.19 | 76.53 | 438.72 | 5.17 | 443.89 |
Stage 5: Of the 1591.06 votes in total transferred from Rodgers, McMullan and McAllister, 28.37% went to the UUP candidates, 16.09% to the SDLP candidates, 13.51% to Wright (Ind U), 13.20% to the SF candidates, 8.49% to Kane (DUP), and 7.80% to Dunlop (Alliance) with 12.53% non-transferable.
Stage 6: Of McCamphill's 2075.31 votes, 78.93% went to Farren (SDLP), 12.38% to the SF candidates, 3.23% to Dunlop (Alliance), 1.46% to the UUP candidates, 0.26% to Kane (DUP), and 0.05% to Wright (Ind U) with 3.69% non-transferable. This was sufficient to elect Farren.
Stage 7: Of the 1638 votes transferred to Farren from McCamphill, 513 went to McCarry and 390 to Cahill, thus 903 (55.13%) to SF; 409 (24.97%) to Dunlop (Alliance); 47 to Campbell, 23 to Leslie and 19 to Coulter, thus 89 (5.43%) to the UUP; 3 (0.18%) to Wright (Ind U); and 2 (0.12%) to Kane (DUP); with 232 (14.16%) non-transferable.
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Stage 7 | Exclude Campbell | Exclude Cahill | Exclude Dunlop | ||||
Ian Paisley Sr. | DUP | 7100 | |
7100 | |
7100 | |
7100 |
Ian Paisley Jr. | DUP | 7100 | |
7100 | |
7100 | |
7100 |
Sean Farren | SDLP | 7100 | |
7100 | |
7100 | |
7100 |
Robert Coulter | UUP | 5660.39 | 1100.19 | 6760.58 | 37.40 | 6797.98 | 1035.00 | 7832.98 |
James Leslie | UUP | 3733.05 | 732.57 | 4465.62 | 8.25 | 4473.87 | 861.87 | 5335.74 |
Gardiner Kane | DUP | 4249.39 | 35.73 | 4285.12 | 5.04 | 4290.16 | 37.75 | 4327.91 |
James McCarry | SF | 2815.33 | 21.95 | 2837.28 | 2055.60 | 4892.88 | 242.80 | 5135.68 |
William Wright | Ind U | 3733.83 | 57.42 | 3791.25 | 1.70 | 3792.95 | 162.65 | 3955.60 |
Jayne Dunlop | APNI | 2870.68 | 160.92 | 3031.60 | 115.10 | 3146.70 | -3146.70 | |
Joe Cahill | SF | 2488.54 | 7.70 | 2496.24 | -2496.24 | |
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Patricia Campbell | UUP | 2401.90 | -2401.90 | |
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non-transferable | |
443.89 | 285.42 | 729.31 | 273.15 | 1002.46 | 806.63 | 1809.09 |
Stage 8: Of Campbell's 2401.90 votes, 76.30% went to her fellow UUP candidates, 6.70% to Dunlop (Alliance), 2.39% to Wright (Ind U), 1.49% to Kane (DUP), and 1.23% to the SF candidates with 11.88% non-transferable. (There were no SDLP candidates left to transfer to.)
Stage 9: Of Cahill's 2496.24 votes, 82.35% went to McCarry (SF), 4.61% to Dunlop (Alliance), 1.83% to the UUP, 0.20% to Kane (DUP) and 0.07% to Wright (Ind U) with 10.94% non-transferable.
Stage 10: Of Dunlop's 3146.70 votes, 60.28% went to the UUP (sufficient to elect Coulter), 7.72% to McCarry (SF), 5.17% to Wright (Ind U), and 1.20% to Kane (DUP) with 25.63% non-transferable.
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Stage 10 | Surplus Coulter | Exclude Wright | |
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Ian Paisley Sr. | Quota | 7100 | |
7100 | |
7100 | |
Ian Paisley Jr. | DUP | 7100 | |
7100 | |
7100 | |
Sean Farren | SDLP | 7100 | |
7100 | |
7100 | |
Robert Coulter | UUP | 7832.98 | -732.98 | 7100 | |
7100 | |
James Leslie | UUP | 5335.74 | 655.35 | 5991.09 | 1589.00 | 7580.09 | |
Gardiner Kane | DUP | 4327.91 | 16.15 | 4344.06 | 1474.04 | 5818.10 | |
James McCarry | SF | 5135.68 | 8.50 | 5144.18 | 9.80 | 5153.98 | |
William Wright | Ind U | 3955.60 | 46.75 | 4002.35 | -4002.35 | |
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non-transferable | |
1809.09 | 6.23 | 1815.32 | 929.51 | 2744.83 | |
Stage 11: Of the 1035 votes transferred to Coulter from Dunlop, 771 (74.49%) transferred to Leslie (UUP); 55 (5.31%) to Wright (Ind U); 19 (1.84%) to Kane (DUP); and 10 (0.97%) to McCarry(SF) with 180 (17.39%) non-transferable.
Stage 12: Of Wright's 4002.35 votes, 39.70% went to Leslie (UUP), ensuring he passed the quota; 36.83% went to Kane (DUP), taking him ahead of McCarry again and ensuring his election; 0.24% went to McCarry (SF) and 23.22% were not transferable.
Not a very surprising result, though a good one for the DUP. Fewer than 350 votes separated Kane and Wright on the penultimate count, and Kane's votes would have elected Wright as certainly as Wright's did Kane. The final margin of 664.12 between Kane and McCarry does not include Leslie's surplus of 480.09 votes, which would have widened the gap.
Full 1998 results for each seat: East Belfast | North Belfast | South Belfast | West Belfast | East Antrim | North Antrim | South Antrim | North Down | South Down | Fermanagh and South Tyrone | Foyle | Lagan Valley | East Londonderry | Mid Ulster | Newry and Armagh | Strangford | West Tyrone | Upper Bann
Other sites based at ARK: ORB (Online Research Bank) | CAIN (Conflict Archive on the INternet) | Northern Ireland Life and Times Survey
Your comments, please! Send an email to me at nicholas.whyte@gmail.com..
Nicholas Whyte, 15 October 2000; modified 16 February 2002.
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Disclaimer:©
Nicholas Whyte 1998-2004 Last Updated onSaturday,
20-Mar-2010 20:05
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