Map by Conal Kelly

See also results of all Upper Bann elections 1993-2010 and full counts from 1998 and 2007. Spreadsheet for 2003 here.
 

Stage 2: Of Trimble's 9158 votes, 4448 transferred to Savage and 3314 to Gardiner, thus 7762 (84.8%) to the other UUP candidates; 311 went to Simpson, 194 to Watson and 94 to Moutray, thus 599 (6.5%) to the DUP; 158 to Kelly and 121 to Corr, thus 279 (3.0%) to the SDLP; 194 (2.1%) to McQuaid (Alliance); 83 to Jone and 82 to Anderson, thus 165 (1.8%) to the independents; 42 to O'Hagan and 20 to O'Dowd, thus 62 (0.7%) to Sinn Fein; and 41 (0.4%) to French (WP) with 56 (0.6%) non-transferable.
 

			Exclude Watson		Surplus Moutray		Surplus Simpson		Exclude Savage
David Trimble	UUP	6212	-	6212	-	6212	-	6212	-	6212
David Simpson	DUP	6303.32	-	6303.32	-	6303.32	-91.32	6212	-	6212
Stephen Moutray	DUP	4942.6	1516	6458.6	-246.6	6212	-	6212	-	6212
Samuel Gardiner	UUP	3730.68	158.24	3888.92	101.79	3990.71	41.82	4032.53	2840.06	6872.59
Dolores Kelly	SDLP	3973.4	2.96	3976.36	2.61	3978.97	2.46	3981.43	77.75	4059.18
John O'Dowd	SF	5578.4	2.32	5580.72	0.87	5581.59	0	5581.59	3.14	5584.73
Dara O'Hagan	SF	4026.08	1	4027.08	0	4027.08	0	4027.08	1.96	4029.04
Kieran Corr	SDLP	3411.96	3.32	3415.28	2.61	3417.89	1.64	3419.53	42.66	3462.19
George Savage	UUP	2991.6	250.24	3241.84	132.24	3374.08	45.1	3419.18	-3419.18	-
Denis Watson	DUP	2113.16	-2113.16	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
		198.8	179.08	377.88	6.48	384.36	0.3	384.66	453.61	838.27

Stage 7: For the 1516 votes transferred to Moutray from Watson, there are two mathematical possibilities. I think it is more likely that 152 went to Savage and 117 to Gardiner, thus 269 (17.7%) to the UUP; that 3 went to Kelly and also 3 to Corr, thus 6 (0.4%) to the SDLP; and that 1 went to 0'Dowd and none to O'Hagan, thus 1 (0.1%) to SF with 1240 (81.8%) non-transferable. However it might have been 456 to Savage and 351 to Gardiner, thus 807 (53.2%) to the UUP; 9 went to Kelly and also 9 to Corr, thus 18 (1.2%) to the SDLP; and 3 to 0'Dowd and none to O'Hagan, thus 3 (0.2%) to SF with only 688 (45.4%) non-transferable.

Stage 8: Of the 200 votes transferred simultaneously from McQuaid and Jones to Simpson, 55 went on to Savage and 51 to Gardner, thus 106 (53%) to the UUP; 3 went to Kelly and 2 to Corr, thus 5 (2.5%) to the SDLP; and none to SF with 89 (44.5%) non-transferable.

			Surplus Gardiner		Exclude Corr
David Trimble	UUP	6212	-	6212	-	6212
David Simpson	DUP	6212	-	6212	-	6212
Stephen Moutray	DUP	6212	-	6212	-	6212
Samuel Gardiner	UUP	6872.59	-660.59	6212	-	6212
Dolores Kelly	SDLP	4059.18	271.36	4330.54	2648	6978.54
John O'Dowd	SF	5584.73	1.6	5586.33	326.27	5912.6
Dara O'Hagan	SF	4029.04	1.92	4030.96	270.16	4301.12
Kieran Corr	SDLP	3462.19	206.72	3668.91	-3668.91	0
		838.27	178.99	1017.26	424.48	1441.74

Stage 10: The batch of votes transferred from Savage to Gardiner which put Gardiner over the quota were those which had originated with David Trimble on the first count and included the 4448 transferred to Gardiner on stage 2. The precise number cannot be known but it cannot have increased very much in the interim, and must have been around 4500. Of these, 858 went to Kelly and 646 to Corr, thus 1494 (33% or so) to the SDLP; and 6 to O'Hagan and 5 to O'Dowd, thus 11 (around 0.3%) to SF, with roughly 3000 (about 67%) non-transferable.

See also: Jim Riley's analysis of votes and seats in the 1998 Assembly election | The constituencies | Single Transferable Vote | The political parties | Useful books and links

Full 2003 results for each seat: East Belfast | North Belfast | South Belfast | West Belfast | East Antrim | North Antrim | South Antrim | North Down | South Down | Fermanagh and South Tyrone | Foyle | Lagan Valley | East Londonderry | Mid Ulster | Newry and Armagh | Strangford | West Tyrone Upper Bann

Other sites based at ARK: ORB (Online Research Bank) | CAIN (Conflict Archive on the INternet) | Northern Ireland Life and Times Survey

Your comments, please! Send an email to me at nicholas.whyte@gmail.com..

Compiled by Nicholas Whyte, Becky Vanasek and Simon Smyth, 9 April 2004.